Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.176932 0.203052 0.232740 0.269200 0.313065 0.364512 0.429968
2025-06-08 0.133298 0.165897 0.206992 0.263491 0.340582 0.444262 0.598104
2025-06-15 0.111902 0.147882 0.196923 0.270595 0.382036 0.550621 0.838323
2025-06-22 0.094251 0.130142 0.181980 0.265321 0.402108 0.630081 1.069226
2025-06-29 0.083378 0.119493 0.174320 0.267889 0.433245 0.735030 1.389697
2025-07-06 0.073870 0.109094 0.164785 0.264671 0.452691 0.824403 1.723822
2025-07-13 0.067833 0.103056 0.160939 0.269887 0.488218 0.956605 2.229877
2025-07-20 0.062998 0.098196 0.158115 0.276064 0.526923 1.109882 2.894864
2025-07-27 0.058815 0.093819 0.155353 0.281601 0.565618 1.278897 3.743311
2025-08-03 0.055480 0.090452 0.153835 0.289189 0.611025 1.485478 4.920264
2025-08-10 0.051971 0.086336 0.150288 0.291741 0.645163 1.677512 6.265739
2025-08-17 0.048705 0.082287 0.146298 0.292519 0.675138 1.872935 7.897685
2025-08-24 0.045444 0.077978 0.141382 0.290649 0.698797 2.065769 9.866738
2025-08-31 0.042247 0.073491 0.135581 0.285753 0.713091 2.236975 12.068937
2025-09-07 0.040530 0.071703 0.135182 0.294007 0.769617 2.611087 16.690185
2025-09-14 0.037854 0.067750 0.129659 0.288263 0.780680 2.804675 20.431166
2025-09-21 0.036093 0.065483 0.127561 0.291139 0.821653 3.169609 27.405739
2025-09-28 0.034041 0.062431 0.123354 0.287578 0.839546 3.438725 34.637846
2025-10-05 0.032790 0.060941 0.122544 0.293367 0.894030 3.959370 49.284023
2025-10-12 0.031694 0.059681 0.122118 0.300223 0.955891 4.595660 72.721565
2025-10-19 0.030631 0.058394 0.121479 0.306372 1.018107 5.316978 109.398279
2025-10-26 0.029758 0.057448 0.121558 0.314804 1.094479 6.255633 176.216012
2025-11-02 0.028654 0.055895 0.119955 0.317641 1.147760 7.102758 271.408535